The difference in between winning and losing your league often comes under to a single decision on draft day. It could be acquisition a player whose production explodes, transforming him right into one that the upstream players in the game. It can be selecting a player whom others slept on during the draft however far surpassed preseason value. That could also be a player who you intended to count on yet then flopped miserably.

You are watching: Fantasy football sleeper picks 2016

Editor"s Picks

To assist you in securing the best impact players and also draft worths -- while staying clear of players who will wreck your roster -- the brickandmortarphilly.com Fantasy soccer staff uses its updated perform of top sleepers, busts and breakouts as characterized below:

Sleeper: A player that will much surpass his typical draft place (ADP) in standard brickandmortarphilly.com leagues for the 2016 season.Bust: A player who is expected to be a hard starter in typical brickandmortarphilly.com leagues but will fail to live up to those expectations this season.Breakout: A player who will leap right into or close to the top echelon of players at his position for the first time since of a dramatic increase in production compared to his previous periods (or in his rookie season).

Our panel is created of these brickandmortarphilly.com Fantasy writers and editors: Matthew Berry, Tom Carpenter, Mike Clay, Tristan H. Cockcroft, Ken Daube, Leo Howell, KC Joyner, Eric Karabell, Keith Lipscomb, Jim McCormick and Field Yates.

QB sleepers and busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryMatthew StaffordBlake Bortles
Tom CarpenterMarcus MariotaPhilip Rivers
Mike ClayTyrod TaylorBlake Bortles
Tristan H. CockcroftBrock OsweilerKirk Cousins
Ken DaubeDerek CarrEli Manning
Leo HowellMarcus MariotaAndrew Luck
KC JoynerBlake BortlesCam Newton
Eric KarabellTom BradyBlake Bortles
Keith LipscombMatthew StaffordBlake Bortles
Jim McCormickMarcus MariotaBlake Bortles
Field YatesRyan TannehillBlake Bortles

RB sleepers and busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryFrank GoreLatavius Murray
Tom CarpenterC.J. AndersonJamaal Charles
Mike ClayBilal PowellJeremy Langford
Tristan H. CockcroftDuke Johnson Jr.Thomas Rawls
Ken DaubeJordan HowardDeMarco Murray
Leo HowellRyan MathewsDevonta Freeman
KC JoynerMelvin GordonJamaal Charles
Eric KarabellArian FosterJeremy Langford
Keith LipscombJordan HowardJonathan Stewart
Jim McCormickDuke Johnson Jr.Justin Forsett
Field YatesDuke Johnson Jr.Jeremy Langford

WR sleepers and busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryTorrey SmithMarkus Wheaton
Tom CarpenterKevin WhiteDez Bryant
Mike ClayJaelen StrongAllen Hurns
Tristan H. CockcroftSammie CoatesAllen Hurns
Ken DaubeTyler LockettSammy Watkins
Leo HowellJermaine KearseKelvin Benjamin
KC JoynerSterling ShepardAlshon Jeffery
Eric KarabellRandall CobbDeSean Jackson
Keith LipscombSterling ShepardSammy Watkins
Jim McCormickTorrey SmithJordan Matthews
Field YatesTyler LockettAlshon Jeffery

TE sleepers and busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryZach MillerLadarius Green
Tom CarpenterCoby FleenerTravis Kelce
Mike ClayMartellus BennettAustin Seferian-Jenkins
Tristan H. CockcroftJared CookJimmy Graham
Ken DaubeCoby FleenerGary Barnidge
Leo HowellZach ErtzTyler Eifert
KC JoynerLadarius GreenJordan Reed
Eric KarabellAntonio GatesTyler Eifert
Keith LipscombJulius ThomasTyler Eifert
Jim McCormickEric EbronJimmy Graham
Field YatesZach ErtzAustin Seferian-Jenkins

2016 breakouts

PanelistBreakout
Matthew BerryMatt Jones
Tom CarpenterEzekiel Elliott
Mike ClayDonte Moncrief
Tristan H. CockcroftJameis Winston
Ken DaubeEzekiel Elliott
Leo HowellJohn Brown
KC JoynerJohn Brown
Eric KarabellMatt Jones
Keith LipscombDeVante Parker
Jim McCormickJohn Brown
Field YatesLamar Miller

Sleepers

These are the players our panel think will exceed their 2016 median draft position and administer value because that those who take a opportunity on them.

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Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Why is his 2015 campaign virtually universally viewed as an anomaly? all Bortles did to be rank fourth amongst quarterbacks in fantasy points (302), fifth in clues on vertical passes (133 top top aerials thrown 11 or much more yards downfield) and also stretch upright points (71 on attempts travel 20 or more yards), and also tied because that seventh in rushing point out (39). A portion of this had to carry out with Jacksonville leading the league in attack drives when trailing ~ above the scoreboard (126), miscellaneous that most likely won"t take place as regularly given the Jaguars" defensive upgrades, but the Panthers, Cardinals and Patriots perfect 1-2-3 in attack drives when leading and also that didn"t avoid their quarterbacks native ranking in the top 5 in fantasy points. -- K.C. Joyner

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Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans

Mike Mularkey coined a unique phrase this previous winter for the Titans" 2016 offense: "exotic smashmouth." The smashmouth element is tied to the backfield tandem the workhorse veteran DeMarco Murray and bruising rookie Derrick Henry, and also the exotic aspect could be satisfied by Mariota"s rare rushing ability. Mularkey has actually promised one uptick in designed runs for the Oregon product, i m sorry not only would lighten package for the backfield however would add far-ranging fantasy worth to a player who -- if we eliminate his restricted work in main 15 at brand-new England -- perfect 10th in fantasy points per game among signal-callers together a rookie. That"s no a typo; Mariota created 18.1 standard fantasy clues per game while battling through injuries, a coaching adjust and a depleted receiving corps. I"ll have actually tons of share of Mariota at QB2 pricing this summer, while QB1 production is fine within the result spectrum. -- Jim McCormick

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Duke Johnson Jr., RB, Cleveland Browns

He"ll be pitted head-to-head with Isaiah Crowell for the Browns" running ago duties start camp, and also most fantasy owners will certainly assume a result of much more of the same: Crowell on first and second downs and Johnson on thirds. Still, Johnson"s 2015 acquired off come a slow-moving start because of a hamstring injury and then a concussion, but his final rushing numbers weren"t all that far off native Crowell"s despite that. Johnson was a three-down ago in university at Miami, and the Browns may be would prefer to watch him take it on more of the rushing chores in 2016, especially since new coach Hue Jackson is notoriously run-heavy on offense. At the very least, Johnson"s prowess in the receiving video game grants him an elevated weekly floor; in ~ his best, he can be a 300-touch player, a tier got to by only 4 running backs in 2015. -- Tristan H. Cockcroft

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Bilal Powell, RB, brand-new York Jets

Back in March, the jet signed Matt Forte to a three-year, $12 million deal. Sooner or later later, castle re-signed Powell come a three-year, $11.25 million deal. Albeit quietly, Powell was heavily connected when healthy last season. He averaged 7.3 carries and also 6.8 targets throughout nine complete games. Powell ranked 10th among backs in fantasy points throughout those weeks and was fifth in PPR scoring. Forte is certain to play a far-ranging offenivee role out that the gate, however this is likely to it is in a timeshare and should the overworked 30-year-old miss time or see a dip in production, Powell will certainly be locked as a top-20 fantasy back. He"s a stealing in the double-digit rounds. -- Mike Clay

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Arian Foster, RB, Miami Dolphins

On a per-game basis, Foster has been among fantasy"s optimal running backs due to the fact that 2010, and also let"s challenge it, nobody expects 16 gamings out the him. My worry is the owners will treat the markedly different than rather we know are absent games, such as Tom Brady and Le"Veon Bell. Well, i don"t desire to penalize Foster that much. I think that plays in September and plays great, scoring touchdowns, catching passes, every one of it. If friend invest, you need to be all set for his season to end at any point, therefore let"s assume you"ve accrued depth. The upside is ridiculous. Choose top-10 RB upside, and also this guy likely won"t cost a top-50 pick -- Eric Karabell

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Sammie Coates, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

With Martavis Bryant top top the sidelines, the Steelers will certainly have avenues in their receiving game this season, and Coates" speed and also vertical capability makes the a great fit come absorb a sizable chunk that Bryant"s vacated targets. Steelers coaches were glowing around Coates" offseason, come the suggest that he was soaring up ranking sheets at the beginning of cultivate camp; back-to-back poor performances in the preseason, however, have restored him come the "last-round flier" tier and also sleeper status. Coates demands a huge finish to his preseason in bespeak to be a beneficial fantasy cog in September, however in an violation as pass-happy as the Steelers, he"s certain to obtain a good number that chances. -- Tristan H. Cockcroft

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Torrey Smith. WR, mountain Francisco 49ers

The adage the fantasy owner have quick memories could not it is in any much more evident than with Smith, that is walk in the 10th or 11th round in early on mocks I have actually seen and an ext or less left because that dead among fantasy analysts. Critical year to be brutal, no doubt, and also his quarterback instance is not, shall us say, ideal. Yet at just 27 year old, Smith has averaged a touchdown because that every 7.2 receptions during his career, which isn"t surprising provided his speed and red zone efficiency (he has converted 17 the 24 red zone catches -- 70 percent -- right into scores). But can the 49ers obtain him the ball?

This is me saying they can and also they will. Ns mean, that else space they throwing to there? Jerome Simpson? DiAndre Campbell? Exactly. Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson each had one season as the optimal target in Chip Kelly"s offense. Both collection career high in targets, yards and tied because that career highs in touchdowns. (If smith sets career high in yards and also touchdowns, he"d have actually at the very least 1,129 yards and 12 scores, i beg your pardon would have actually been tied because that seventh ideal at WR critical season). Despite a sluggish start and a season in which every little thing went wrong, Jordan Matthews still finished as a top-20 WR last season and was WR9 indigenous Weeks 9-17. Any type of DeAndre Hopkins owner will tell you the you don"t necessarily require a good QB to it is in a fantasy stud, and while i am obviously no saying smith is Hopkins, i am speak he"ll be a much much more complete WR together Chip Kelly"s ideal (only?) weapon in the happen game and also much much more than the situational deep danger he was in Baltimore. In five years in the NFL, Smith has actually never to let go a game and at his present ADP, that is an pure steal. -- Matthew Berry

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Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks

While Doug Baldwin racked increase the monster numbers during the second half of last season, it to be the introduction of Lockett together a receiving hazard that coincided with the rebirth of the Seahawks" dominance. In his final seven games, Lockett averaged simply less than six targets per game and was good for practically 60 receiving yards per video game in those contests. Lockett is the multithreat weapon that Pete Carroll envisioned as soon as the team got Percy Harvin. Look for his duty to expand significantly. -- Ken Daube

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Sterling Shepard, WR, new York Giants

This is together much about opportunity together it is around Shepard"s physical gifts. We"ll begin with the gifts, though, which function impressive route-running capacity and strong run-after-the-catch skills. According to study by brickandmortarphilly.com Stats & Information, Shepard convert 13 very first downs on third-down plays last season in ~ Oklahoma. No various other OU player had more than 10 records on 3rd downs. Then, take into consideration that the Giants led the NFL in snaps (862) and pass make the efforts (569) with three or much more WRs top top the ar in 2015. Shepard will certainly play a lot, and I have actually concerns around Victor Cruz returning to form, so I mean Shepard come a it is in solid No. 2 option for Eli Manning once the dust settles. Take it a shot on him together a WR4 or WR5 in Ben McAdoo"s system and hope he i do not care at least a continuous flex consideration. -- Keith Lipscomb

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Coby Fleener, TE, brand-new Orleans Saints

Stop me if you have actually heard this before: a tall, athletic tight end posting large numbers under a Sean Peyton/Drew Brees offense. Fleener i do not care the latest receiver to occupy that duty and that is completely capable that doing everything and an ext than Ben Watson did critical season. Numerous will allude to Fleener"s inability to successfully block as a negative, however ignore the rhetoric. Jimmy Graham is among the worst prevent tight end in the NFL and the Saints worked roughly that. Look for Fleener to end up in the top five at his position. -- Ken Daube

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Antonio Gates, TE, san Diego Chargers

Pessimists have been calling gates old for much more than a couple of years, implying the end of production is coming. And also yet, critical season Gates, at 35, finished one standard suggest out that the top-10 amongst tight end despite lacking five games, four because of suspension. Maybe he won"t it is in the No. 2 tight end producer favor 2014, however this stays a strong offense and Gates is a big reason why, specifically near the score line. Couple of view gateways as a top-10 chop end, yet I see him as a starter in a 10-team format, and with a post-round 10 selection. -- Eric Karabell

Busts

Which players room destined come fall brief of their draft work expectations? our panel imply you continue to be away from this players who are sure come disappoint.

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Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Bortles perfect his 2nd professional season with the fourth-most fantasy points at the position. Unfortunately, that"s about where this success story ends. Bortles tossed a league-high 18 interceptions and completed 58.6 percent that his passes (which to be actually lower than his rookie-season mark). Bortles" success was an ext about volume and being in the right location at the ideal time, together the Jaguars dubbed pass 68 percent of the time (second-highest) and scored 88 percent that their attack touchdowns through the waiting (third-highest). Defensive improvements an unified with the enhancement of Chris cream color all however guarantee more reliance on the run in 2016. Bortles is an evident regression candidate and also best regarded as a QB2. -- Mike Clay

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Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

Newton was only ranked tied because that seventh in fantasy points ~ eight main of the 2015 season (131). A slate of incredibly favorable matchups during the second fifty percent of that campaign (including contests against six teams that finished the season ranked 22nd or worse in happen yards enabled per attempt) enabled him to make the MVP-caliber turnaround. The matchup slate is nowhere close to as favorable in 2016, together Carolina has difficult opponents anywhere their schedule, including Denver in mainly 1, Minnesota in mainly 3, and four games against the NFC West. He"ll still it is in a top-five fantasy QB, yet the odds are Newton will certainly be closer come the bottom of that top-five tier 보다 to the height of it. -- K.C. Joyner

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Philip Rivers, QB, san Diego Chargers

The concern I have actually with Rivers is that he is in an odd spot as a quarterback who typically has been undervalued however may it is in overvalued this season ~ tossing career-highs in yardage (4,792) and also passes (661) in 2015. Ns think he has intrigue together a later-round QB2 pick in two-QB leagues, however I suppose he will certainly be bring away much earlier in drafts. If you space in a 12-team, one-QB system and also don"t target an elite quarterback, i wouldn"t desire to have actually my team relying on Rivers as my top choice for the full season. His fantasy worth will come down to wherein you secure him on breeze day. -- Tom Carpenter

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Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Charles is 29 years old and also battling ago from his 2nd ACL injury in the last five years. If those negatives aren"t enough, think about that Kansas City has already seen what kind of rushing production they can gain without Charles in their backfield. From Week 6 (the game following Charles" season-ending injury) come the end of the season, Kansas City ranked sixth in rushing yards (1,495), fourth in yards every rush (4.8), tied for second in rushing touchdowns (14), sixth in rush yards after first defensive contact (605) and also fifth in rush yards before very first defensive call (890). Those numbers will offer Andy Reid many of an inspiration to separation the carries in between Charles, Spencer Ware and also Charcandrick West, and thus put a RB2/RB3 ceiling on Charles. -- K.C. Joyner

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Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders

Speaking v my sources around the Raiders, the word maintained coming back the same: Oakland go not want Murray to it is in a workhorse back. They made a operation at Doug young name in complimentary agency, and looking closer you have the right to see why. His fantasy manufacturing was a an outcome of volume (third in the NFL with 266 carries) and also not efficiency (33rd in yards every carry). He seemed to wear under as the game went on, averaging just 2.2 yards per bring in the 4th quarter critical season, and scored five of his six rushing TDs top top his very first 10 carries of the game.

Want more? of the 15 to run backs with 200 or much more carries critical year, no one was stopped prior to gaining three yards much more consistently than Murray (49.6 percent that the time, 132 that 266 carries). It wasn"t just the gamings as the wore under as the season went on, either. Murray"s yards per lug dropped indigenous 4.8 in games 1-8 to 3.3 in gamings 9-16 (a 31.3 percent fall off). Less touches might make him much more explosive, yet it might likewise just do him much less everything, since his value last year to be volume. Oakland added DeAndre Washington in the draft, and also expect that or someone else to take a chunk that the job-related away from Latavius. Either way, he"s a flex play who is gift drafted together a RB2. -- Matthew Berry

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Jeremy Langford, RB, Chicago Bears

Where do I begin? on 375 rookie-season snaps, Langford to be nothing short of dreadful. He average 2.9 yards per carry against defensive sets with fewer 보다 five defensive backs. He averaged 1.1 yards after contact per attempt. He caught 54 percent the his targets. Per agree Football Focus, he required seven to let go tackles ~ above 148 carries. Langford ranked dead last at the position in every of those categories. Include into the equation a absence of explosive plays and poor impede skills, and also Langford end up looking much more like a candidate because that a benching 보다 he walk a breakout. -- Mike Clay

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Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks

He had fantastic 2015, but I"m loath to choose the player with only seven NFL games" proven condition with far-reaching injury inquiries as cultivate camp dawns. After Rawls fractured his left fishing eye in week 14, the Seahawks spent the offseason refusing to do a mainly 1 guarantee, to add selected 3 running backs in the draft, including a superior pass catcher in C.J. Prosise, who should reduced into Rawls" already modest contribution in that department. I might readjust my track come respectable if Rawls" injury inquiries soften as we method preseason games, however right currently he"s in a "must-handcuff" situation, a strategy i typically shot to avoid, and I think he"s also rich because that my tastes as a second-round selection. -- Tristan H. Cockcroft

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Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Bryant has a trio of significant concerns. First, a broken foot -- which compelled multiple surgeries, including a pair of bone grafts -- because that a wide receiver is nothing to it is in taken lightly. Second, the Cowboys have to look come run much more with Ezekiel Elliott in the fold, i beg your pardon may assist Bryant in part regard but also should border his workload and also upside. Finally, Tony Romo is as breakable as castle come at this phase of his career. One bad hit, and also the Cowboys" passing strike goes in the tank again. That"s an awful lot of risk come take v what probably will be a first-round pick -- specifically considering the deluxe depth easily accessible at wide receiver this season. -- Tom Carpenter

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Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Maybe I"m too close to the situation as a vital Eagles pan (is there any other kind?), but I find it troubling the a player through such a rare blend that size and strength (ranks in the 75th percentile and also up in height, weight, arm length, hand size and also bench press among positional prospects because 1999, every MockDraftable) can"t, or rather hasn"t, to be able to earn far-ranging snaps together an external receiver. Doug Pederson has actually intimated Matthews has struggled on the outside in offseason occupational so far, and is still ideal suited because that the slot. To it is in fair, Matthews was 27th in fantasy clues per game at the place last season and also we"ve viewed Marques Colston create with a comparable build native the slot. Meanwhile, Matthews" statistics success was discovered in Chip Kelly"s receiver-friendly, snap-happy scheme. Currently that Kelly walk west and also Andy Reid"s the contrary conservative West shore system is back in southern Philly, I think Matthews" ceiling isn"t much greater than his 2015 output. -- Jim McCormick

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Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears

Wide receiver supplies a many depth in 2016, for this reason this isn"t simply an indictment the Jeffery. That most certainly has the upside to finish where he ranking in ours consensus record (11th), however there are simply a couple of factors that have me ever so slightly concerned: he to be banged up transparent 2015, the second time in four seasons when injuries have actually held him out of at least six games. Also, the bear will have actually Kevin White top top the field this season, which can (again, ever before so slightly) eat right into Jeffery"s targets. Jeffery is superb talent. Wide receiver just offers enough alternatives this year for me come think some others can rise up the ranks ahead the him. -- Field Yates

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Ladarius Green, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers

Once. That"s the answer. Once in nine NFL seasons because 2007, during stints as the offensive coordinator in Arizona, head coach in Kansas City and also offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh, Todd Haley has had a tight end of his have much more than five touchdowns. Once. Heath müller in 2012 had 10 scores and more than 800 yards. But that"s an outlier. Over the previous nine years, tight end under Haley have averaged 54 catches for 561 yards and also four touchdowns per year. No one person. The whole position group.

Last year, Eric Ebron had actually 537 yards and also five touchdowns in 14 games and also was TE13. Yet there"s no Martavis Bryant girlfriend say. OK, fine. In nine games the past two year with Ben Roethlisberger together the starting QB and without Bryant in the lineup, Miller had actually 38 records on 51 targets because that 378 yards and also two TDs. End the course of a 16-game season, that speed is 68 catches on 91 targets because that 672 yards and four TDs. Or to placed another way ... TE12, simply behind Antonio Gates.

Yeah, yet Ladarius eco-friendly is a lot far better than pagan Miller, friend scream. Or Tony Moeaki or Leonard Pope and any other tight end Todd Haley has also had. And also that may an extremely well it is in true. He certainly shows up to be more athletic. Yet there"s the majority of fantasy tombs littered v athletic spring tight end that never ever actually had regular fantasy manufacturing (cough Jared chef cough). New team, brand-new QB, brand-new system, currently hurt and you"ve acquired Antonio Brown and Le"Veon Bell there. I wouldn"t it is in shocked if green has a solid year, but at his present top eight questioning price, that has to hit that to be precious it. Green will be like countless TE2s this year; a few weeks the he crushes, and also many once he disappears. That is fine for a TE2. Simply not the top-8 guy like he"s being drafted as. He"s being drafted ahead of Gary Barnidge, Jimmy Graham and also Zach Ertz. Really? -- Matthew Berry

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Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals

Eifert was never going come score 13 touchdowns again in 2016, and also then he obtained hurt throughout the offseason. There might not be much more red flags for the Bengals" TE, yet he most likely will still be drafted together a top-tier TE1. Eifert was a quite breakout player critical year who had strong numbers for his position also without the touchdowns (52 catches for 615 yards), yet he saw just 70 targets and is bound for touchdown regression. There"s too much hype here to ever get a good return on her investment. -- Leo Howell

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Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Tampa just Buccaneers

Sefarian-Jenkins checks a the majority of the physical boxes (he"s enormous and also athletic, for starters), but I"m not buying 2016 as a breakout season because that him. He has missed 16 that 32 gamings in his pro career, has had actually uneven manufacturing in the games that he has showed up in (23 the his 55 fantasy points last season came in week 1), and also I"m not persuaded that other Bucs tight finish Cameron Brate won"t have an involved duty again this season. -- Field Yates

Breakouts

Who will sign up with the ranks of the elite and assist you win your organization this season? below are our professional picks for 2016"s breakout stars.

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Matt Jones, RB, Washington Redskins

I know, i know. I more than likely should have actually been the eight billionth human to write about DeVante Parker here. Yet while I like Parker as well, I determined Matt Jones. Partly it"s around opportunity. Alfred Morris is gone, and also passing-down specialist kris Thompson is the only real present threat for play time. We will view what august brings for Mack Brown and also rookie Keith Marshall, yet for now, this is going to it is in the Matt Jones present for an offense that was peak 10 in points per video game last year. I intend Washington"s violation will as soon as again be one of the higher scoring persons in the NFL and there"s a most reason to think Jones will be a large part of that.

Last year, Washington had 61 sirloin attempts in the red region (top 11 in the NFL). Jones and also Morris an unified for 48 the those. Through Morris no much longer there, it"s same to think Jones can flirt through 50 red zone rushing make the efforts this year. Only five running backs in the NFL had 50 or an ext red region rushes last year, consisting of the top four fantasy running backs (Devonta Freeman, Doug Martin, Adrian Peterson and also DeAngelo Williams). Ns thought, just from the eye test, that Matt Jones looked critical year choose a perhaps special player. Players that large shouldn"t be that fast. He also struggled with staying healthy and ball security, so no doubt, the leash is short. However the gig is all his because that now and also it"s worth noting the last year, in gamings in i beg your pardon he carried the round more than 10 times, he average 11.9 fantasy points per game. Take that pace over a 16-game season and you"re looking in ~ 190 clues -- or, the third-highest scoring RB in 2015 (Martin was RB3 through 187 points). Talented young running earlier on a high-scoring offense, v the task all to himself at one outside-the-top-20-at-his-position price? I"ll draft that all work every day. -- Matthew Berry

Someone has to run the round for Kirk Cousins and also the Washington offense, and also Jones, that was inconsistent as a rookie, is plainly first in line, with seemingly tiny competition currently that Alfred Morris is gone. Jones has actually the size and also speed to handle regular duty and also create big plays, and being in a pass-first offense can actually help him. Sure, his 2015 stats were not glorious, together Jones wasn"t outstanding after contact and also wasn"t a major factor as a receiver, yet that create the to buy opportunity currently that he"s healthy and balanced after offseason i know good surgery. He have the right to be a RB3. -- Eric Karabell

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Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

As a Michigan man and also lifelong Dallas Cowboys hater, I have actually every factor to wish because that Elliott come flop, however you have to put emotions next to success in fantasy. The bottom line is the he simply has too lot going because that him to not bust loose immediately as one of the top studs in the game. I understand all also well exactly how talented and durable Elliott is, and also he is poised to be a three-down earlier behind one elite offensive line because that a team that demands to run the round a lot of to store Tony Romo healthy. The is clearly superior come DeMarco Murray, who led the organization in rushing two years ago, and also arguably has actually less threat than the likes the Adrian Peterson (31), Le"Veon Bell (knee) and also Todd Gurley (horrible O-line). You deserve to make a legitimate situation for taking Elliott together the No. 1 running back. -- Tom Carpenter

I nearly feel guilty choosing Ezekiel Elliott as a breakout candidate because it is so obvious. Elliott is the most well-rounded rookie to run backs to get in the league due to the fact that Adrian Peterson. He"ll heat up behind an offensive line that enabled Darren McFadden -- yes, Darren McFadden -- to complete with the fourth most rushing yards in the organization last season. V Elliott gift a close to lock to be the every down ago for the Dallas Cowboys, he"s practically guaranteed to reach 1,400 yards from scrimmage and eight or an ext touchdowns, metrics only accomplished by Peterson and also Devonta Freeman last year. -- Ken Daube

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DeVante Parker, WR, Miami dolphin

Now completely healthy after managing a foot injury together a rookie, the 6-foot-3, 218-pounder that ran a 4.45 40 is poised to display why he"ll be a No. 1 wideout sooner 보다 later. Parker arised late in 2015, following Rishard Matthews" season-ending injury, and also totaled at least 63 receiving yards in five of the last six games, including a trio of touchdowns. I"m a believer the the change from college to the advantages is tough on receivers, therefore I totally expect Parker to break out as a sophomore, flashing the big-play potential that witnessed him typical 19.0 yards per catch last season. A 1,100-yard, 7-TD season wouldn"t surprised me. -- Keith Lipscomb

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Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa just Buccaneers

Mobile quarterbacks always possess the highest possible statistical floors in ~ the position, do Winston a no-doubter No. 2 quarterback -- a viable back-up in a conventional league and also a surefire starter in 2QB styles -- but this is much more about his development potential than the safety in his selection. He"s in much better shape entering this preseason than last, but an ext important, he spent the offseason functioning on boosting his chemistry through Mike Evans, who statistical fall in 2015 represents successfully the difference between Winston"s standing as a No. 2 fantasy option and also a potential starter. Winston sure looks favor a player top top a mission entering 2016, and since I like to go the cheap route at quarterback, I"ll definitely be targeting him as one of my two. -- Tristan H. Cockcroft

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John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals

John Brown is a special athlete with strong wide recipient skills, and it"s just a issue of time before he important rises to the peak of the Arizona receiving corps and also becomes an yearly WR1 selection. He enhanced in every statistical group in his second season, going much more than 1,000 yards and also gaining an ext yards every reception. As he proceeds to see continual snaps and overtakes his veteran teammates for opportunities, those numbers will only increase again. I won"t controversy if friend think Michael Floyd is due because that a breakout, as well, however I worth Brown"s adaptability and capacity to play in the slot, as well as his upstream speed. -- Leo Howell

Carson Palmer led every NFL quarterbacks in passes the traveled at the very least 10 yards in the air critical season and was fifth in QBR on such throws. Man Brown averaged much more fantasy points per video game in 2015 보다 Mike Evans, T.Y. Hilton, Amari Cooper and Randall Cobb, to name a couple of peers certain to have higher ADPs this summer. This success was completed despite battling a lingering hamstring injury for the second half of the season. We currently know Brown is lightning quick with sub-4.4 jets and also delivers exceptional YAC skills, aspects Bruce Arians has actually celebrated and also deployed with great success in the past. By following summer, ~ a big-play fill 2016, Brown will certainly truly be ADP peers through the surname above. -- Jim McCormick

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Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins

New dolphins head coach Adam Gase has indicated Ajayi is taking fee in the battle for Miami"s top running earlier spot. That might be sufficient to vault Ajayi into breakout territory, but it"s precious noting the Ajayi received great run blocking (roughly characterized as the offense not permitting the defense come disrupt a sirloin attempt) on only 28.8 percent the his carries critical season. For perspective, only two qualifying backs had a lower great blocking price last season. Provided Miami"s attack line upgrades, it"s safe to say that Ajayi is very likely to integrate a lot an ext carries with much much better run blocking and potentially finish up a low-end RB1 if all goes well. -- K.C. Joyner

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Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Rawls has already broken out, to some degree. He performed better than veteran Marshawn Lynch at an early stage in the season, then totaled an ext than 250 yards from scrimmage in mainly 11. Currently Rawls just needs to operation well because that 16 games. Despite being one undrafted free agent, he average 5.6 yards every carry and also enters this season together the starter, presuming that recovers totally from a broken ankle. Seattle"s offense listed Lynch with the devices to it is in an annual top-10 back, and Rawls should follow in those footsteps. -- Eric Karabell